Opinion poll favours BJP in Delhi assembly polls, Kejriwal still the most-preferred CM candidate

AAP leader Arvind Kejriwal

New Delhi, Nov 11: An opinion poll favours the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) if the Delhi assembly elections are held now, and it finds Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) leader Arvind Kejriwal the most-preferred chief minister candidate.

According to an opinion poll conducted by ABP News-Nielsen, the BJP riding high on the ‘Modi wave’ is likely to gain full majority with 46 seats in the 70-member Delhi assembly. The party’s vote share is likely to be about 38%, it says.

The AAP, which won 28 seats in the 2013 assembly elections, is expected to bag 18 seats and its vote share may dip slightly to 26%, compared to 27% in 2013.

The opinion poll has reportedly predicted that the Congress may perform even more poorly than the 2013 elections, giving the party five seats against eight last year.

The opinion poll, however, finds AAP’s Arvind Kejriwal as the most-preferred chief ministerial candidate, with 39% respondents rooting for him, while BJP’s Harsh Vardhan comes close second with 38%.

The poll said that about two-third respondents said they were satisfied with the work done by Kejriwal in his 49-day tenure, which may be the reason why he is still favoured for the CM’s post.

It may be noted that Narendra Modi remains the most popular leader among the respondents with a huge margin of 63%. Kejriwal is the second-most popular leader with 25%, while Rahul Gandhi trails with 12%.

The opinion poll was conducted by ABP News-Nielsen among 6,528 respondents in 35 assembly constituencies during November 5, 2014 to November 7, 2014.

Fresh elections in Delhi are likely to be held in February after the Union cabinet okayed the dissolution of the assembly, acting on a report on the political situation in the national capital.

President’s rule was implemented in Delhi since February when the AAP government resigned after 49 days in power.

In the 70-member Delhi House, the BJP and its ally Shiromani Akali Dal
(SAD) has 29 MLAs – down from 32 after its legislators Harsh Vardhan, Ramesh Bidhuri and Pravesh Verma were elected to the Lok Sabha. The AAP has 27 members, while the Congress has eight.

(With Agency Inputs)

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